U.S. Political Prediction Markets: Why Kalshi’s Court Victory Matters

Kalshi was next, but it had protection because it was registered legally as a regulated exchange (technically a designated contract market or DCM). Within this framework, Kalshi is entitled to self-certify “event contracts,” and the CFTC may only prohibit them where they are contrary to public interest and involve specific activities, including “war,” “terrorism,” and “gaming.”

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