Bullish Case For Bitcoin Right Before EOY?

PetarT

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Chances of Bitcoin hitting new ATH in December? What are the charts and technical analysis telling us at the end of the year.

Will Bitcoin price hitting new ATH in December? What BTC USD charts and technical analysis tell us EOY for Bitcoin 2024?

Bitcoin ETFs have received inflows of hundreds of millions per day over the past week, and traders are now anticipating that December could mark the end of the year with another positive monthly close.

It is hard not to get excited when one sees such great news, though. Post-election, the Bitcoin ETFs’ assets under management (AUM) have increased by more than 120%—that is in just one month’s time.

But as the saying goes, technical Analysis is always our best friend when it comes to trading, rather than emotions. Emotions are a great indicator, though but lets check out the charts!

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Deciphering The Mysteries Of Bitcoin Price  – Technical Analysis When BTC Price Is Ranging

Having enjoyed good news about the orange coin phenomenon, let’s dive into the latest technical analysis of Bitcoin

btc-bitcoin icon price.

(BTC/USDT)

In my honest opinion, this is a difficult moment for a novice trader to decide whether to enter trades. I would rather wait to see how the price develops, and here is why.

The Bitcoin price chart above shows four big sell candles – a bearish engulfing pattern. Keep in mind this is a mid to high timeframe – 12H. There’s more weight to these candle closes than lower timeframes, such as 1H and 4H. We have also been rejecting the $100,000 level multiple times. Compared to my analysis last week, I have adjusted the Fib Retracement to the top, at almost $104,000. That is because we saw the price move above the first high multiple times and retested the 0.236 level.

(BTC/USDT)

Now, we have zoomed out and are looking at the 1D timeframe all the way to the beginning of 2024. Starting from the left, we see how the price gradually grew in an ascending channel in December 2023 and had a sell-off in January. From March to October, the Bitcoin price was in a descending channel and broke above a bit before the U.S. elections.

At the end of this year, we will see another ascending channel/wedge form. Sometimes, those are upward accumulations. Sometimes, they break below first, so I would be cautious. Either way, the uptrend is not broken until we have a daily close below $68,000.

The likelihood of this happening is rather low, considering all the ETF inflows that give long-term holders a good reason to keep holding. Even though we could see another pullback, Bitcoin remains bullish. Breaking above $104,000 should start the next leg higher.

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Disclaimer: Crypto is a high-risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. You could lose all of your capital.
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PetarT

Petar entered the crypto world in 2021. His main interest in crypto is charting and trading. What drew him in was his love for math, logic and seeing price move on the charts. He started trading immediately, but realised he… Read More

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